Dow/S&P500/NASDAQ: British Pound Trader Positions

On July 23, 2024 a record level of Non-Commercial Futures Traders Net (Long-Short) positions was recorded for the British Pound. This is well above the previous record set on July 17, 2007. After the July 2007 futures positions peak there was a delay of approximately three and one half months before the Dow, S&P500, and NASDAQ started a decline. The 10-Yr Note yield was also in decline during this time. With a significantly larger number of futures trader positions recorded on July 23, 2024, a longer delay for a decline in the stock markets is anticipated. It has been five and one half months since the peak on July 23, 2024. The 10-Yr Note yield is currently in decline, as it was in 2007. A decline in the stock markets is still expected as capital from around the world continues to move into U.S. Dollars.

Note that this information is for educational purposes only and not a recommendation.

Stock and currency charts courtesy of StockCharts.com.

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Dow: Close below 41,647

On June 3, 2024 the Engrbytrade™ 1974 Dow Model was updated to reflect a 7 point structure developed in 1973 – 1974.  At that time the Dow was expected to follow the 1974 peak and start a decline. In late May 2024, the Dow failed to drop below the April 2024 low and continued to move higher. This extension of the upward trend has continued until now with the Dow positioned to continue its decline. Using the current Engrbytrade™ 1974 Dow Model a close below 41,647 would indicate a continuation of the decline going into 2025.

Note that this information is for educational purposes only and not a recommendation.

Charts courtesy of StockCharts.com.

Disclaimer