US Dollar: British Pound Leading Indicator

As of August 29, 2023 futures traders accumulated an extremely large number of positions in the British Pound that are similar to what they accumulated in July 2014. Using this data as a leading indicator the end result of this accumulation is an expectation of a sharp decline in the British Pound, along with a corresponding sharp rise in the U.S. Dollar in 2023 and 2024. Using the 2014 U.S. Dollar structure, a move up to 150 over the next 12 months would be in line with related Fibonacci calculations. This will have a significant deflationary impact on major currencies and commodities in 2023 and 2024.

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