Dow: 1913 to 1929 Model

Structural research indicates the Federal Reserve started developing a stock market model in 1913 that ultimately drove prices higher going into September 1929 before collapsing the markets.  Comparing data structures covering the last 28 years this same model has taken shape on a scale that is 100 times larger than the 1913 to 1929 model.  As of July 2, 2021 a closing price of 34,786 in the current model would be within 1% of a relative position of 344.7 in the Dow structure on July 25, 1929.  Assuming the Federal Reserve continues to support this model, the Dow would be expected to reach 38,120 (+/- 1%) by September 2021 before collapsing.  Research also indicates key areas of Dow Futures Trading data show a trend shift that would support a scenario for a final move to higher levels between July and September 2021.

 

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