On January 12, 2025 a preliminary review was done on the 1973 and 2025 Dow index structures. It was noted that the 1973 and 2025 charts were strikingly similar. Previous postings shown below indicate the probability of a decline in the Dow is increasing. Using the following posts, and charts with Fibonacci scales in place, a preliminary conclusion can be made that a decline is expected in the coming weeks. This decline could be similar to 2022 where volatility would be the norm.
1. Alignment of the 2018 and 2025 US 10-Yr Note vs 2025 Dow index.
2. Indications of capital moving to Swiss Francs.
3. The expectation of crude oil moving lower.
4. Market Maker accumulation of TLT.
5. The growing number of Dow stocks collapsing since 2020.
6. Engrbytrade markers pointing to a decline going into the end of 2026
7. As of November 9, 2024 the Buffett Indicator (Market Valuation to GDP) was 209%.
Note that this information is for educational purposes only and not a recommendation.
Stock charts courtesy of StockCharts.com.
