On January 5, 2026 it was noted that Non-Commercial Trader short positions were significant. Rates were also expected to fall in 2026. The Fed started dropping rates on September 18, 2024. On December 10, 2025 the target rate was dropped to 3.75%. The 10Yr Note rate is currently in a holding pattern as it rides a 19.3 degree support line shown in the following 2026 10Yr chart. Rates are still expected to fall. The rate of change will depend on an unexpected financial event, the bond market, or Federal Reserve.
Note that this information is for educational purposes only and not a recommendation.
Stock charts courtesy of http://StockCharts.com.
