On July 12, 2026 it was noted that overall, there is a high probability of a substantial decline in rates, even if they move up slightly over the short term. Market Makers and insiders have been accumulating the 10-Yr (TLH) and 30-Yr (TLT) derivatives for some time now. TLH has seen serious accumulation activity since the first quarter of 2025. TLT continues to ride the 8.32 degree trend line with a steady rate of accumulation. Not unusual, but it appears Liquidity Providers are targeting stop losses along this algorithmic path. The “Bond Market” and Market Makers have control of this situation and it appears they certainly could drive rates lower based on any number of local or international events.
Note that this information is for educational purposes only and not a recommendation.
Stock charts courtesy of StockCharts.com.
