Economy: Collapse Is Inevitable

Covid Investigative Committee
Grand Jury Proceeding: Day 5
Economical & Financial Destruction
https://gettr.com/streaming/pvr11i8098

Destruction of the economy (Technocracy)
27:02 to 1:49:00
Patrick Wood
Economist & Author

Controlled Demolition of the Political and Economic System
1:49:00 to 2:59:34
Leslie Manookian
Former Investment Banker

Financial Destruction
3:05:59 to 3:54:55
Bjorn Pirwitz
Lawyer and Finance Expert from Germany

Financial Destruction (Part II)
3:55:00 to 4:40:00
Dr. Christian Kreiss
Professor of Economics & Former Investment Banker, Germany

U.S. Dollar: Currency Moves

U.S. Dollar intermarket futures trading data calculations indicate currency traders are expected to move from the Australian Dollar and Canadian Dollar into the U.S. Dollar in a way that is similar to what occurred between December 4, 2018 and December 24, 2018. Since the Dow and S&P500 are expected to move lower this month, steady selling of very large blocks of stock will drive interest rates lower.

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Dow: 2018 Decline Structure

Daily engrbytrade™ Dow calculations continue to indicate a decline is expected with a move down to 34,081 (+/- 0.5%) to fill a gap in the 5 minute futures chart created on January 28, 2022. Calculations also indicate there is a 60% chance of a decline starting this week that will be similar to what occurred in the one hour futures chart between December 7, 2018 and December 24, 2018.

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Crude Oil: Aramco Public Listing

Revised intermarket WTI futures trading data calculations show an upcoming move similar to what occurred between December 20, 2010 and April 4, 2011. If the proposed second Aramco listing is issued, a stock market decline can be expected.

Feb 7, 2022
Now is ‘perfect time’ for a second Saudi Aramco public listing, former executive says

A stock market decline started in February 2020 following the initial trading of Aramco shares in mid-December 2019.

December 11, 2019
Saudi Aramco shares surge 10% as historic IPO begins trading

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Dow/S&P500: $3 Trillion Loss

On January 24, 2022, it was reported that global stock selloff losses were near $3 trillion. It should be noted that part of this stock (inventory) moved from institutional customers, such as pension funds and large trading firms, to the accounts of NYSE Designated Market Makers (DMM) and Supplemental Liquidity Providing Firms (SLP-Prop / SLMM). In the coming weeks part of the inventory accumulated by the DMM and SLP firms will be sold to corporations who are initiating corporate buyback programs. This buyback process will run until March 14, 2022. As corporate buyback programs progress, DMMs and SLP firms will raise prices of their inventory and institutions, large trading firms, retail investors, etc., will start buying. When DMMs and SLP inventories are depleted they have the option to sell short. During the next decline DMMs and SLP firms will cover their short positions while buying stock (inventory) from institutions and large trading firms at a lower price. This process of inventory control was explained in Richard Ney’s books published between 1970 and 1975. The following document provides some insight to the process as well. On page 10 it states that Market Makers must track their inventory to ensure they are not taking undue risk or encroaching on capital limits.

Market Makers in Financial Markets: Their Role, How They Function, Why They are Important, and the NYSE DMM Difference

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Crude Oil: 2009-2011

Stock chart courtesy of StockCharts.com.

Changes within Crude Oil intermarket futures trading data indicate WTI is being manipulated to develop a broadening structure (shown above). This is similar to what was developed between September 14, 2009 and January 3, 2011. If WTI moves above the upper trend line, then a price of $134 would be expected before moving lower.

Disclaimer

Dow: Broadening Formation

Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com.

Between July 19, 2021 and January 24, 2022 Market Makers created a small scale version of the broadening formation developed between April 2, 2018 and March 23, 2020. Based Market Maker’s accumulation of very large blocks between January 24, 2022 and January 28, 2022 the current 2021-2022 broadening formation structure indicates a move toward the 38,000 range is in progress.

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Dow: 35,520 Gap

Today, the Dow opened at 35,520.08 creating a gap with the previous day’s close. This is similar to what occurred on Monday, January 18, 2022 when a gap in the Dow was created with an opening of 35,661.76. Prior to the markets opening on the morning of January 18th a gap in the overnight 5 minute futures chart was also created between 35,671.00 and 35,659.00 and has not been filled. It is expected that the Dow will fill the futures market gap created on January 18, 2022 and the gap created today prior to moving lower.

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Dow: Retracement Limit

Daily engrbytrade™ Dow calculations indicate the retracement from January 25, 2022 to February 2, 2022 has hit a limit similar to what occurred between December 2, 2021 and December 7, 2021. With Market Makers managing very large block trades after the close, a decline to 34,214 is expected by February 16, 2022.  If there is a sharp decline in the 10-Yr Note rate as the Dow declines, this is an indication that Exchange Insiders are anticipating a significant decline in the Dow.

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Dow: Tom Lee

Not a surprise that Tom Lee agrees on a rally in February.  Bitcoin is still expected to continue trending lower this year with a move similar to that of the Euro in 1980.

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Dow: Move to 38,000

Futures trading data for this week now shows futures traders are taking advantage of the Dow being undervalued relative to the U.S. Dollar and are making preparations for the Dow to move upward. Calculations indicate a structure will be completed in a very short period of time that is similar to what was developed between February 12, 2018 and October 3, 2018. With the participation of futures traders and Market Makers, a move to 38,000 is achievable. This will complete the 1929 model.

Disclaimer

Dow: Volatility

Stock chart courtesy of StockCharts.com.

In addition to generating structures similar to what was developed between December 1, 2021 and December 2, 2021 volatility has provided Market Makers with an opportunity. The daily Dow futures candlestick chart indicates a repeat performance of October 1, 2021 to October 6, 2021. On January 25, 2022 it was observed that a significant number of very large blocks crossed the tape indicating an accumulation process was underway. Based on accumulation, volatility and price movement calculations it appears Market Makers are in the process of developing a structure similar to that of October 6, 2021 to November 8, 2021. Preliminary structural calculations show the Dow moving to 37,977 (+/- 1%) by March of 2022.

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Economy: Jeremy Grantham

Calling a Super Bubble: Front Row with Jeremy Grantham

Notes from this interview:
U.S. stocks are in a super-bubble like 1929.
The upcoming crash will rival the 1929 crash and dot.com bust of 2000-2001.
In the last year stocks in the Russell 2000 are down.
The current bubble is a very rare pattern.
The NASDAQ and Russell 2000 are weak against blue chip stocks.
The trend line is (at most) 2500 for the S&P500.
Do not short individual stocks.
The global housing market is currently more overpriced than it was in the housing bubble of 2006-2008.
Inflation will be part of the discussion and move higher from now on.
We are in the early stages of running out of raw materials.
Selected commodity prices will move higher.
Live within your means.

Disclaimer

Dow: Move to 35,883

Between 11:20 a.m. (EST) on January 21, 2022 and 4:00 p.m. (EST) on January 24, 2022 computer algorithms generated a 5 minute futures chart structure that is similar to, and 65.5% larger than, what was generated between 11:15 a.m. (EST) on December 1, 2021 and 4:00 p.m. (EST) on December 2, 2021. Daily engrbytrade™ Dow calculations currently indicate the Dow is expected to move to 35,883 (+/- 1%) before February 9, 2022 with the continuation of computer generated algorithms that are similar in structure to what was generated between December 2, 2021 and December 16, 2021.

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