Dow: Stock Buybacks

Goldman Sach’s buyback comment appears to contradict what traders would expected with the current situation in Europe. Apparently Goldman is aware that the proposed SWIFT suspension is meaningless. This means engrbytrade™ Dow calculations are correct to show a move up to 35,606 as corporations continue to buy back their stock.

Two examples of corporations announcing stock buybacks.

Twitter Board OK’s New $4 Billion Stock Buyback

Exxon Mobil’s Announced Stock Buyback

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Economy: Collapse Is Inevitable

Covid Investigative Committee
Grand Jury Proceeding: Day 5
Economical & Financial Destruction
https://gettr.com/streaming/pvr11i8098

Destruction of the economy (Technocracy)
27:02 to 1:49:00
Patrick Wood
Economist & Author

Controlled Demolition of the Political and Economic System
1:49:00 to 2:59:34
Leslie Manookian
Former Investment Banker

Financial Destruction
3:05:59 to 3:54:55
Bjorn Pirwitz
Lawyer and Finance Expert from Germany

Financial Destruction (Part II)
3:55:00 to 4:40:00
Dr. Christian Kreiss
Professor of Economics & Former Investment Banker, Germany

U.S. Dollar: Currency Moves

U.S. Dollar intermarket futures trading data calculations indicate currency traders are expected to move from the Australian Dollar and Canadian Dollar into the U.S. Dollar in a way that is similar to what occurred between December 4, 2018 and December 24, 2018. Since the Dow and S&P500 are expected to move lower this month, steady selling of very large blocks of stock will drive interest rates lower.

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Dow: 2018 Decline Structure

Daily engrbytrade™ Dow calculations continue to indicate a decline is expected with a move down to 34,081 (+/- 0.5%) to fill a gap in the 5 minute futures chart created on January 28, 2022. Calculations also indicate there is a 60% chance of a decline starting this week that will be similar to what occurred in the one hour futures chart between December 7, 2018 and December 24, 2018.

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Dow: Limited Decline

Daily engrbytrade™ Dow calculations and Market Maker block trades indicate algorithms will initiate a limited decline similar to what occurred between December 16, 2021 and December 20, 2021. This decline is expected to move the Dow down to 34,081 (+/- 0.5%).  It will also fill a gap in the 5 minute futures chart created on January 28, 2022.

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Crude Oil: Aramco Public Listing

Revised intermarket WTI futures trading data calculations show an upcoming move similar to what occurred between December 20, 2010 and April 4, 2011. If the proposed second Aramco listing is issued, a stock market decline can be expected.

Feb 7, 2022
Now is ‘perfect time’ for a second Saudi Aramco public listing, former executive says

A stock market decline started in February 2020 following the initial trading of Aramco shares in mid-December 2019.

December 11, 2019
Saudi Aramco shares surge 10% as historic IPO begins trading

Disclaimer

Dow/S&P500: $3 Trillion Loss

On January 24, 2022, it was reported that global stock selloff losses were near $3 trillion. It should be noted that part of this stock (inventory) moved from institutional customers, such as pension funds and large trading firms, to the accounts of NYSE Designated Market Makers (DMM) and Supplemental Liquidity Providing Firms (SLP-Prop / SLMM). In the coming weeks part of the inventory accumulated by the DMM and SLP firms will be sold to corporations who are initiating corporate buyback programs. This buyback process will run until March 14, 2022. As corporate buyback programs progress, DMMs and SLP firms will raise prices of their inventory and institutions, large trading firms, retail investors, etc., will start buying. When DMMs and SLP inventories are depleted they have the option to sell short. During the next decline DMMs and SLP firms will cover their short positions while buying stock (inventory) from institutions and large trading firms at a lower price. This process of inventory control was explained in Richard Ney’s books published between 1970 and 1975. The following document provides some insight to the process as well. On page 10 it states that Market Makers must track their inventory to ensure they are not taking undue risk or encroaching on capital limits.

Market Makers in Financial Markets: Their Role, How They Function, Why They are Important, and the NYSE DMM Difference

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Crude Oil: 2009-2011

Stock chart courtesy of StockCharts.com.

Changes within Crude Oil intermarket futures trading data indicate WTI is being manipulated to develop a broadening structure (shown above). This is similar to what was developed between September 14, 2009 and January 3, 2011. If WTI moves above the upper trend line, then a price of $134 would be expected before moving lower.

Disclaimer

Dow: Broadening Formation

Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com.

Between July 19, 2021 and January 24, 2022 Market Makers created a small scale version of the broadening formation developed between April 2, 2018 and March 23, 2020. Based Market Maker’s accumulation of very large blocks between January 24, 2022 and January 28, 2022 the current 2021-2022 broadening formation structure indicates a move toward the 38,000 range is in progress.

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Dow: 35,520 Gap

Today, the Dow opened at 35,520.08 creating a gap with the previous day’s close. This is similar to what occurred on Monday, January 18, 2022 when a gap in the Dow was created with an opening of 35,661.76. Prior to the markets opening on the morning of January 18th a gap in the overnight 5 minute futures chart was also created between 35,671.00 and 35,659.00 and has not been filled. It is expected that the Dow will fill the futures market gap created on January 18, 2022 and the gap created today prior to moving lower.

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Dow: Retracement Limit

Daily engrbytrade™ Dow calculations indicate the retracement from January 25, 2022 to February 2, 2022 has hit a limit similar to what occurred between December 2, 2021 and December 7, 2021. With Market Makers managing very large block trades after the close, a decline to 34,214 is expected by February 16, 2022.  If there is a sharp decline in the 10-Yr Note rate as the Dow declines, this is an indication that Exchange Insiders are anticipating a significant decline in the Dow.

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Dow: Tom Lee

Not a surprise that Tom Lee agrees on a rally in February.  Bitcoin is still expected to continue trending lower this year with a move similar to that of the Euro in 1980.

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