Based on today’s closing Dow, it looks like Market Makers will relinquish the need for a decline. Expect a move upward over the next two months.
Dow: Limited Time for a Decline
With a limited amount of time remaining for a brief decline, the Dow is expected to drop into a range between 25,800 and 25,600 during the week of June 17, 2019 before moving higher.
Dow: Pullback
Look for a brief decline starting the week of June 10, 2019. The Dow is expected to drop into a range between 25540 and 25380 before moving higher.
Dow: Final Move Upward
During the week of May 27, 2019, Market Makers used a structured approach in trading Dow stocks to stay on a predetermined path. The course has been set for the remainder of 2019. Market Makers will now push the Dow higher in order to reach 32,976 by August 30, 2019. The peak in August will be followed by a decline that will last until the end of October 2019. During the month of October, the Dow is expected to decline between October 9, 2019 and October 28, 2019 with a significant collapse between October 21, 2019 and October 28, 2019. The following model has been updated.
Market Makers will Move the Dow:
1. Up to 32,976 (+/-2%) by August 30, 2019
2. Down to 12,900 by October 28, 2019
Note:
If you compare a 1970 to 2019 Dow chart with the South Sea Company chart, shown above, we are very close to the peak.
Dow: Market Status Report
Market Makers took advantage of current events to push the Dow lower one day earlier than planned. The low in the Dow came within 1.6% of the price target shown below. A move upward is expected to reach 26,235(+/-2%) by June 7, 2019. If the Dow fails to close on or above 26,133 by June 4, 2019, there is a high probability that a decline much bigger than what is shown below could be set in motion starting on June 7, 2019 (+/- 1 day) and continuing through June 21, 2019 (+/- 1 day).
Dow Status:
Market Makers will Move the Dow:
1. Down to 25,087 (+/-2%) by May 24, 2019 (+/-1 day)
Actual: May 23, 2019; Dow Low 25,490.47 (within 1.6% of May 24th target)
2. Up to 26,235 (+/-2%) by June 7, 2019 (+/- 1 day)
3. Down to 23794 (+/-2%) by June 21, 2019 (+/- 1 day)
4. Up to 27,000 by July 5, 2019 in preparation for moving the Dow to higher levels
VIX
With an accelerated timeline in place, as discussed on May 15, 2019, VIX model data is showing a swift move upward in June and will align with the Dow declining between June 7, 2019 and June 21, 2019.
Interest Rates
The 10 Year U.S. Treasury Note interest rate computer model is aligning with the accelerated timeline to indicate algorithms in use are now expected to drive the 10 Year Note rate down to 2.0% by June 30, 2019.
Dow: Structures Timeline Update
Based on VIX timeline adjustments noted on May 15, 2019, a revision was made to the following Dow Structure estimates. Volatility will continue to increase through the month of June, resulting in potential revisions to the Dow Structure estimates.
Market Makers will Move the Dow:
1. Down to 25,087 (+/-2%) by May 24, 2019 (+/-1 day)
2. Up to 26,235 (+/-2%) by June 7, 2019 (+/- 1 day)
3. Down to 23,794 (+/-2%) by June 21, 2019 (+/- 1 day)
4. Up to 27,000 by July 5, 2019 in preparation for moving the Dow to higher levels
Dow: Precautionary Note
If the Dow fails to close on or above 26,133 by June 4, 2019, there is a high probability that a significant decline could be set in motion on June 7, 2019 (+/- 1 day) and continue through the month of June.
Silver’s Low Within Range
Silver is now within 4% of its targeted range, as noted in the May 3, 2019 post, “Silver Low”. It is expected to stay in this range until May 30, 2019 and then slowly start moving up to the $25 range over the next two and one half years.
(Disclaimer)
Dow: Structures Update
Acceleration of the Market Makers timeline on May 13, 2019 forced a revision to the Dow Structure estimates. The latest update is shown below.
Market Makers will Move the Dow:
1. Down to 25,300 (+/-2%) by May 23, 2019 (+/-1 day)
a. Actual close: 25,325 on May 13, 2019
2. Up to 26,400 (+/-2%) by May 24, 2019 (+/- 1 day)
3. Down to 24,800 (+/-2%) by June 4, 2019 (+/- 1 day)
4. Up to 27,000 by July 5, 2019 in preparation for moving the Dow to higher levels
Dow: Accelerated Schedule
Market Makers accelerated their schedule to reach a Dow range of 25,300 (+/-2%) on May 13, 2019, as noted in the Building Dow Structures post on May 11, 2019 by optimizing media discussions on trade tariffs.
Dow: Building Dow Structures
Market Makers are taking advantage of negative news from various media outlets for the purpose of building structures needed to accumulate additional inventory (e.g., stocks) before moving prices significantly higher during the last half of 2019. The following estimates for the Dow are expected over the next two months.
Market Makers will Move the Dow:
1. Down to 25,300 (+/-2%) by May 23, 2019 (+/-1 day)
2. Up to 26,400 (+/-2%) by June 18, 2019 (+/- 1 day)
3. Down to 24,700 (+/-2%) by July 12, 2019 (+/- 1 day)
4. Up to 27,000 by September 2019 in preparation for moving the Dow to higher levels
Dow: Long Term Perspective
Major Commercial Trader’s continue to support a move that will send the Dow Jones Index higher. Based on this, a review of the long-term outlook was warranted using an index model constructed of multiple historical derivative structures that align with the current Dow pricing model. The results revealed a significant move to the upside is expected with the Dow hitting its peak in 2021. This long-term move is not unusual and occurs on a regular basis in multiple markets. There will be pullbacks along the way, but algorithms will continue to run, independent of external forces, until the program is complete in mid-2021. At that point a significant decline is expected to start.
Silver Low
Silver continues to move within range of a low last seen during late November 2018. The current move is expected to push silver to a low of 14.20(+/-4%) by May 27, 2019. From this low range, silver is expected to move up to 25.00 (+/-4%) by June 15, 2021.
(Disclaimer)
Dow: Models Reset
Additional research indicates major commercial traders intervened and initiated a program for the purpose of driving the Dow to higher levels. One short decline in the Dow is expected to occur by May 27, 2019, followed by another before July 17, 2019. Upon completion of the two brief declines, the Dow is expected to start moving to significantly higher levels over the next two years. Based on data received to date, there is a 90% chance this move will occur. A new model will need to be developed to track this move.
Dow: Market Adjustments
Market adjustments, such as Japanese holidays noted below, and the impact of Palladium prices on Nasdaq companies have been incorporated into the following short term projected scenario.
Current Short Term Projected Scenario (Model #2019-3, Rev.1a)
Dow closing price on April 18, 2019: 26,559.54
Dow declines to June 17, 2019 (+/- 1 day)
Projected close: 19,439.23 (+/-1%)
Between April 27, 2019 and May 6, 2019, Japanese markets will be closed for a series of national holidays. Indications point to a peak in the Nikkei on April 24, 2019 (+/- 1 day) followed by a long decline going into January 2020. This decline is expected to run in tandem with a drop in the Dow Jones Index.
Dow: Options Expiration
Structures for a turn by April 10, 2019 have been built and a move to lower levels is still expected. Calculations indicate that plans are in place for the Dow to continue moving sideways going into options expiration week. Based on Market Maker actions up to this point a decline is expected to start by April 17, 2019. Vix calculations confirm a decline is planned for April, May, and June 2019.
Future of Gold
Gold is currently on track for a long-term climb to higher prices in the coming years. The current engrbytrade Gold model indicates a price of $1600 (+/-1%) is expected by the end of 2019. Overall, Commercial Futures Traders Gold Short Positions have been in a down trend since 2010, and an average annual increase of 22% per year in the price of gold is expected for the next several years. The Federal Reserve has full control over the price of this element and will manipulate the price as needed to meet their inflationary target of 2% per year. It is not the prospect of wealth with gold that one should be overly concerned with, but one should focus on the need for a hedge against a dramatic price increase in goods and services over the next several years as the Federal Reserve ultimately exceeds their inflationary expectations.
(Disclaimer)
Dow Structured for a Decline
The current Dow structure indicates Market Makers are planning to continue with a series of declines followed by short rallies. The next move down is expected to touch a low in the Dow of 19,184.38 (+/-1%) by May 2, 2019 (+/-1 day) and then move up to 21,915.08 (+/-1%) by May 30, 2019 (+/-1 day) before moving lower again.
(Disclaimer)
Dow: Two Choices
Based on the Current Projected Scenario Model noted on March 3, 2019 and a separate independent model, the Dow is expected to continue its decline going into March 22, 2019. At that point Market Makers have two choices. The first choice would push the Dow back up to 26,800 and then continue its decline to 16,000. The second would provide a direct decline to the 16,000 range without a rally. Depending on Market Makers near term profit motives, the direction they take will determine if both independent models are revised.
Final Low In Silver
Preliminary calculations, based on data up to March 8, 2018 indicate $14.35 (+/- 1/2 %) should be the expected final low in silver during the week of April 15, 2019. If Gold Banks and Commercial Futures Traders follow through with their long term plans based on historical trading data, notional figures indicate silver is expected move above $100 on or before August 2025. Additional research will be needed to update the model as time progresses.
(Disclaimer)
Dow: Computer Model Update
The following projection is based on Market Maker activities up to February 25, 2019. A significant decline is expected this year, but the Exchange Stabilization Fund could intervene again and support the stock market, as they did in late December 2018. If they do intervene, a revision to the Model shown below will be required.
Current Projected Scenario (Model #2019-3, Rev.0)
Dow closing price on February 25, 2019: 26,091.95
1. Dow declines to June 24, 2019 (+/- 1 day)
Projected close: 13,177.60 (+/-1%)
2. Dow moves up to August 16, 2019 (+/- 1 day)
Projected close: 16,800.00 (+/- 1%)
3. Dow declines to November 19, 2019 (+/- 1 day)
Projected close: 10,791.00 (+/- 1%)
Pullback in Silver Starting
As noted on January 27, 2019, silver has started its decline and is expected to drop below the $14 level for a final long-term accumulation opportunity. Commercial Futures Traders have been accumulating short positions since November 2018 in preparations for this decline. With respect to this long-term accumulation, it is expected that silver will be in the $20 range by 2021, and continue to move higher, eventually going parabolic to the $60 range in several years.
Dow: Significant Decline in 2019
A significant decline has been scheduled for 2019 and the majority of investors will be shocked when it occurs. From the Dow’s pivot point on February 25, 2019, initial calculations indicate the Dow is expected to decline to the 13,500 range by mid-May 2019. Additional work is needed to construct a model reflecting this move. While in the process of conducting this decline, Market Makers will not hesitate to identify numerous reasons why the markets declined so rapidly, just as they have done in the past.
Dow: Retracement on schedule
On Friday, the Dow hit 25,883.25 and is within 1% of the current projected scenario model closing price of 25,669.61 for February 19, 2019 (+/- 1 trading day). A separate calculation indicates a retracement of 80% (+/- 3%) is expected for the Dow’s decline between October 3, 2018 and December 26, 2018. As of Friday the Dow has retraced 79.6% from the low in December. The Dow is still expected to start moving lower next week.
Dow: Options Expiration
Market Markets are currently focused on their timeline going into options expiration. The double top formation indicates a delay to setup a move to the downside starting mid-month. This aligns with the original projection on February 2, 2019 that a peak would occur on February 19, 2019 (+/- 1 day). The latest model shown below provides an adjustment based on Market Makers actions.
Current Projected Scenario (Model #2019-2, Rev. 1)
Dow closing price on February 14, 2019: 25,543.24
1. Dow moves up to February 19, 2019 (+/- 1 day)
Projected close: 25,669.61 (+/-1%)
2. Dow moves down to June 20, 2019 (+/- 1 day)
Projected close: 16,244.80 (+/- 1%)